Optimal designs for regional bridging studies using the Bayesian power prior method

Pharm Stat. 2020 Jan;19(1):22-30. doi: 10.1002/pst.1967. Epub 2019 Aug 25.

Abstract

As described in the ICH E5 guidelines, a bridging study is an additional study executed in a new geographical region or subpopulation to link or "build a bridge" from global clinical trial outcomes to the new region. The regulatory and scientific goals of a bridging study is to evaluate potential subpopulation differences while minimizing duplication of studies and meeting unmet medical needs expeditiously. Use of historical data (borrowing) from global studies is an attractive approach to meet these conflicting goals. Here, we propose a practical and relevant approach to guide the optimal borrowing rate (percent of subjects in earlier studies) and the number of subjects in the new regional bridging study. We address the limitations in global/regional exchangeability through use of a Bayesian power prior method and then optimize bridging study design with a return on investment viewpoint. The method is demonstrated using clinical data from global and Japanese trials in dapagliflozin for type 2 diabetes.

Keywords: international bridging; power prior; regulatory science; return on investment; sample size determination; study design.

MeSH terms

  • Bayes Theorem
  • Benzhydryl Compounds / therapeutic use
  • Clinical Trials as Topic / methods*
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 / drug therapy
  • Drug Development / methods
  • Glucosides / therapeutic use
  • Humans
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Research Design*
  • Sodium-Glucose Transporter 2 Inhibitors / therapeutic use

Substances

  • Benzhydryl Compounds
  • Glucosides
  • Sodium-Glucose Transporter 2 Inhibitors
  • dapagliflozin