Reduction rate of C-reactive protein as an early predictor of postoperative complications and a reliable discharge indicator after gastrectomy for gastric cancer

Ann Surg Treat Res. 2019 Aug;97(2):65-73. doi: 10.4174/astr.2019.97.2.65. Epub 2019 Jul 29.

Abstract

Purpose: Postoperative complications (PCs) after gastrectomy are associated with readmission and longer hospital stay. This study aimed to determine the role of CRP as an early predictor of PCs and a reliable discharge indicator after gastrectomy.

Methods: Clinicopathologic data and PCs of 613 patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric cancer in 2015-2016 were retrospectively analyzed, including consecutive blood samples for CRP obtained preoperatively, at the operative day, and postoperatively. Following the Clavien-Dindo classification, the patients were divided into a group with major PCs and a group with minor/no PCs. Diagnostic accuracy was determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Clinical factors related to major PCs were identified using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.

Results: PCs occurred in 89 patients (14.5%). The most significant predictive factor for major PCs was a CRP concentration reduction rate of ≤38.1% (AUC, 0.82; sensitivity, 76.4%; specificity, 76.1%) between postoperative day (POD) 3 and 5 (R5), followed by ≤11.1% (AUC, 0.75; sensitivity, 73%; specificity, 76%) between POD 2 and 3 (R4). When both factors were applied (R4 ≤ 11.1% and R5 ≤ 38.1%), the specificity was 91.6%; when only one condition was satisfied (R4 ≤ 11.1% or R5 ≤ 38.1%), the sensitivity was 91%.

Conclusion: CRP concentration reduction rates between POD 3 and 5 and between POD 2 and 3 were the best combination factors to predict PCs and indicate a safe discharge after gastrectomy for gastric cancer.

Keywords: C-reactive protein; Postoperative complications; Stomach neoplasms.