In primary care, is measuring free-thyroxine plus thyroid-stimulating hormone to detect hypopituitarism cost-effective? A cost utility analysis using Markov chain models

BMJ Open. 2019 Jul 29;9(7):e029369. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2019-029369.

Abstract

Objective: We examined whether it is cost-effective to measure free thyroxine (FT4) in addition to thyrotropin (thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH)) on all requests for thyroid function tests from primary care on adult patients.

Background: Hypopituitarism occurs in about 4 people per 100 000 per year. Loss of thyrotropin (TSH) secretion may lead to secondary hypothyroidism with a low TSH and low FT4, and this pattern may help to diagnose hypopituitarism that might otherwise be missed.

Design: Markov model simulation.

Primary outcome measure: Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), the ratio of cost in pounds to benefit in quality-adjusted life years of this strategy.

Results: The ICER for this strategy was £71 437. Factors with a large influence on the ICER were the utilities of the treated hypopituitary state, the likelihood of going to the general practitioner (GP) and of the GP recognising a hypopituitary patient. The ICER would be below £20 000 at a cost to the user of an FT4 measurement of £0.61.

Conclusion: With FT4 measurements at their present cost to the user, routine inclusion of FT4 in a thyroid hormone profile is not cost-effective.

Keywords: clinical chemistry; health economics; pituitary disorders.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis* / statistics & numerical data
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Hypopituitarism / blood*
  • Hypopituitarism / diagnosis*
  • Male
  • Markov Chains
  • Primary Health Care*
  • Thyroid Function Tests / economics*
  • Thyrotropin / blood*
  • Thyroxine / blood*

Substances

  • Thyrotropin
  • Thyroxine