Short-term blood pressure changes have a more strong impact on stroke and its subtypes than long-term blood pressure changes

Clin Cardiol. 2019 Oct;42(10):925-933. doi: 10.1002/clc.23242. Epub 2019 Jul 30.

Abstract

Background: Elevated blood pressure (BP) is closely related to stroke and its subtypes. However, different time periods changes in BP may result in differential risk of stroke.

Hypothesis: Short-term blood pressure changes have a more strong impact on stroke and its subtypes than long-term blood pressure changes.

Methods: We designed the study on the effects of short- (2008-2010) and long-term (2004-2010) BP changes on stroke events (2011-2017), including 22 842 and 28 456 subjects, respectively. The difference in β coefficients between short- and long-term BP changes on the effects of stroke were examined using the Fisher Z test.

Results: During a median 12.5-year follow-up period, 1014 and 1505 strokes occurred in short- and long-term groups. In short-term group, going from prehypertension to hypertension, the risk of stroke events increased (stroke: hazard ratio [HR] = 1.537 [1.248-1.894], ischemic stroke: 1.456 [1.134-1.870] and hemorrhagic stroke: 1.630 [1.099-2.415]); going from hypertension to prehypertension, the risk of stroke events decreased (stroke:0.757 [0.619-0.927] and hemorrhagic stroke:0.569 [0.388-0.835]). Similarly, in long-term group, going from prehypertension to hypertension, individuals had an increased risk of stroke (1.291, 1.062-1.569) and hemorrhagic stroke (1.818, 1.261-2.623); going from hypertension to prehypertension, participants had a decreased risk of stroke (0.825, 0.707-0.963) and hemorrhagic stroke (0.777, 0.575-0.949). Furthermore, the effects of BP changes during short-term period on stroke events were greater than that in long-term period.

Conclusions: Short- and long-terms BP changes were both associated with the risk of stroke events. Furthermore, short-term BP changes had a stronger impact than did long-term changes on risk of stroke events.

Keywords: blood pressure; blood pressure changes; cohort study; stroke.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study

MeSH terms

  • Blood Pressure / physiology*
  • Blood Pressure Determination
  • China / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Forecasting*
  • Humans
  • Hypertension / complications
  • Hypertension / physiopathology*
  • Incidence
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • Risk Factors
  • Stroke / epidemiology
  • Stroke / etiology