Predictive value of serum kisspeptin concentration at 14 and 21 days after frozen-thawed embryo transfer

Abstract

Research question: Can serum kisspeptin levels 14 and 21 days after frozen-thawed embryo transfer predict the early pregnancy outcome of patients?

Design: Prospective study, with 133 patients undergoing frozen-thawed embryo transfer. Patients were divided into non-pregnant group and pregnant group (including biochemical pregnancy, singleton pregnancy, miscarriage and twin groups).

Results: Serum kisspeptin levels on day 21 were significantly higher than day 14 in singleton pregnancy, miscarriage and twin groups (all P < 0.0001), but not in the biochemical pregnancy group. Similarly, serum human chorionic gonadotrophin (HCG) levels were higher on day 21 compared with day 14 except for the biochemical pregnancy group. Compared with the twin group (296.9 pg/ml), the other four groups showed significantly higher serum kisspeptin levels on day 14 (non-pregnant 548.9, biochemical pregnancy 440.4, miscarriage 434.9, singleton pregnancy group 420.9 pg/ml, P < 0.01, P = 0.016, P = 0.034, P = 0.036, respectively). The miscarriage (762.2 pg/ml), singleton pregnancy (730.8 pg/ml) and twin groups (826.3 pg/ml) had significantly higher kisspeptin levels than the biochemical pregnancy group (397.3 pg/ml) on day 21 (P < 0.001, P < 0.01, P < 0.001, respectively). Serum kisspeptin levels on day 14 were negatively correlated with embryo implantation rate (P = 0.035, R² = -0.880). Serum kisspeptin levels on day 21 have a poor predictive value of miscarriage compared with serum HCG levels (area under the curve = 0.53 and 0.78, respectively).

Conclusions: Serum kisspeptin levels on day 14 are negatively correlated with embryo implantation rate. Serum kisspeptin levels on day 21 have a poor predictive value of miscarriage.

Keywords: Embryo transfer; Implantation; Kisspeptin; Miscarriage; Pregnancy outcome.