In Costa Rica, the first known cases of Zika were reported in 2016. We looked at the 2016-2017 Zika outbreak and explored the transmission dynamics using weekly reported data. A nonlinear differential equation single-outbreak model with sexual transmission, as well as host availability for vector-feeding was used to estimate key parameters, fit the data and compute the basic reproductive number, R₀, distribution. Furthermore, a sensitivity and elasticity analysis was computed based on the R₀ parameters.
Keywords: Approximate Bayesian Computation; Zika virus; basic reproductive number; epidemic models; public health; transmission dynamics; vector-borne diseases.