The risk of incident hypertension associated with long-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) was still unclear by studies conducted in North America and Europe, and this relationship has rarely been quantified at higher ambient concentrations typically found in developing countries. We aimed to investigate the association between PM2.5 and incident hypertension using the large-scale prospective cohorts in China. We included 59 456 participants without hypertension aged ≥18 years from the China-PAR (Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China) project. Data on ambient PM2.5 at participants' residential address were obtained during 2004 to 2015 using a satellite-based spatial-temporal model. Hazard ratios and 95% CIs were calculated for incident hypertension using stratified Cox proportional hazards models with adjustment of potential confounders. The findings indicated that average PM2.5 concentration from 2004 to 2015 at study participants' address was 77.7 μg/m3. During the follow-up of 364 947 person-years, we identified 13 981 incident hypertension cases. Compared with the lowest quartile exposure of PM2.5, participants in the highest quartile had an increased risk of incident hypertension with a hazard ratio (95% CI) of 1.77 (1.56-2.00). Each 10 μg/m3 increment of PM2.5 concentration could increase 11% risk of hypertension (hazard ratio, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.05-1.17). This cohort study provided the first evidence from China that long-term exposure to PM2.5 was independently associated with incident hypertension at relatively high ambient concentrations. Stringent strategies on PM2.5 pollution control are warranted to improve the air quality and contribute to the reduction of disease burden of hypertension in China.
Keywords: air pollution; cohort study; hypertension; particulate matter; risk.