Classification and regression tree-based prediction of 6-mercaptopurine-induced leucopenia grades in children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia

Cancer Chemother Pharmacol. 2019 May;83(5):875-880. doi: 10.1007/s00280-019-03803-8. Epub 2019 Feb 26.

Abstract

Purpose: The rationale of the current study was to develop 6-mercaptopurine (6-MP)-mediated hematological toxicity prediction model for acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) therapeutic management.

Methods: A total of 96 children with ALL undergoing therapy with MCP-841 protocol were screened for all the ten exons of TPMT, exon 2, exon 3 and intron 2 of ITPA using bidirectional sequencing. This dataset was used to construct prediction models of leucopenia grade by constructing classification and regression trees (CART) followed by smart pruning.

Results: The developed CART model indicated TPMT*12 and TPMT*3C as the key determinants of toxicity. TPMT int3, int4 and int7 polymorphisms exert toxicity when co-segregated with one mutated allele of TPMT*12 or TPMT*3C or ITPA exon 3. The developed CART model exhibited 93.6% accuracy in predicting the toxicity. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.9649.

Conclusions: TPMT *3C and TPMT*12 are the key determinants of 6-MP-mediated hematological toxicity while other variants of TPMT (int3, int4 and int7) and ITPA ex2 interact synergistically with TPMT*3C or TPMT*12 variant alleles to enhance the toxicity. TPMT and ITPA variants cumulatively are excellent predictors of 6-MP-mediated toxicity.

Keywords: 6-Mercaptopurine; Acute lymphoblastic leukemia; Glutamate carboxypeptidase II; Leucopenia grade; Machine learning; Thiopurine methyl transferase.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Alleles
  • Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols / administration & dosage*
  • Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols / adverse effects
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Leukopenia / chemically induced*
  • Leukopenia / genetics
  • Male
  • Mercaptopurine / administration & dosage*
  • Mercaptopurine / adverse effects
  • Methyltransferases / genetics*
  • Polymorphism, Genetic
  • Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma / drug therapy*
  • Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma / genetics
  • Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma / pathology
  • Pyrophosphatases / genetics
  • Regression Analysis

Substances

  • Mercaptopurine
  • Methyltransferases
  • TPMT protein, human
  • Pyrophosphatases
  • ITPA protein, human