Background: Pathological stage is considered as the best prognosis indicator for gastric cancer. With the increasing use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT), the latest TNM staging included a new pathological stage of ypTNM for patients with NACT. However, no study has investigated if ypTNM stage has the same prognostic implication as pTNM stage for gastric cancer.
Methods: We retrospectively selected eligible patients within a prospectively maintained database containing all patients treated with gastric cancer in Peking University Cancer Hospital from 2007 to 2015 using overall survival as the outcome. Patients using ypTNM and pTNM were 1:1 matched by propensity scores (PS) calculated from a model containing variables associated with ypTNM use or survival. Overall survival was compared by unconditional Cox regression. Conventional multivariate analysis was conducted to corroborate PS matching results.
Results: 1441 patients were included in the analysis with a median follow-up of 37 months (range = 2-106). The matched sample contained 756 patients. After PS matching, patients with specific ypTNM stage were 1.34 (95%CI = 1.05-1.72, P = 0.019) times more likely to die than patients with the same pTNM stage. Similar to the results of PS matching, multivariate Cox regression yielded a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.35 (95%CI = 1.09-1.67, P = 0.006). Subgroup analysis indicated this survival difference between ypTNM and pTNM stage varied by the specific TNM stage of patients. The HR was 3.44 (95%CI = 1.06-11.18, P = 0.040) and 1.28 (95%CI = 1.00-1.62, P = 0.048) for patients in stage I and III, respectively; whereas for stage II patients, no significant difference was observed (HR = 1.37, 95%CI = 0.78-2.38, P = 0.27).
Conclusion: Gastric cancer patients with specific ypTNM stage had worse prognosis compared to those at the same stage defined by pTNM.
Keywords: Gastric cancer; Neoadjuvant chemotherapy; Propensity score matching; Survival; pTNM; ypTNM.