Unravelling the link between global rubber price and tropical deforestation in Cambodia

Nat Plants. 2019 Jan;5(1):47-53. doi: 10.1038/s41477-018-0325-4. Epub 2018 Dec 31.

Abstract

Tropical forests continue to undergo a rapid transformation. The expansion of rubber tree (Hevea brasiliensis) plantations has been reported as a major driver of forest loss, linked to a boom in market demand. Distant commodity markets have spurred a surge of large-scale economic land concessions granted throughout tropical Southeast Asia. Using satellite imagery, we show the impact of rubber tree plantations on Cambodian forest cover and analyse how annual forest-to-rubber conversion rates relate to global rubber prices from 2001 to 2015. We found that 23.5 ± 1.8% of national forest cover was cleared in this period, with 23.2 ± 3.6% of cleared forest converted to rubber plantations. Annual forest-to-rubber conversion rates closely correlated with global rubber prices, with a time lag of 8-9 months (Pearson's r = 0.93). Our results reveal a strong link between global commodity markets and tropical forest loss, particularly in countries with land policies geared towards rapid development.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Cambodia
  • Commerce
  • Conservation of Natural Resources / economics*
  • Conservation of Natural Resources / statistics & numerical data*
  • Conservation of Natural Resources / trends
  • Hevea
  • Interrupted Time Series Analysis
  • Rubber / economics*
  • Satellite Imagery / methods
  • Tropical Climate

Substances

  • Rubber