Background: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes high morbidity, with mortality rates approaching or exceeding that of influenza in adult and infant patient populations, respectively. Lumicitabine (ALS-008176 or JNJ-64041575) is an oral nucleoside analogue prodrug in clinical development to treat RSV infections. This prodrug converts to plasma-circulating ALS-8112, and then to the 5'-active nucleoside triphosphate (NTP) form within host cells. We conducted an RSV-A challenge study in healthy adults to evaluate lumicitabine's activity during an active RSV infection.
Objectives: To develop a semi-mechanistic mathematical model describing RSV kinetics, and the pharmacokinetics (PK) and pharmacodynamics (PD) of lumicitabine during treatment.
Methods: Nasopharyngeal viral load and concentrations of ALS-8112 and ALS-8144 (uridine metabolite) were measured frequently over the study duration. Population viral kinetic and PK/PD models were developed using NONMEM. The RSV life-cycle was described using a target-cell-limited model that included a physiological delay.
Results: The estimated clearances of ALS-8112 and ALS-8144 were 54.2 and 115 L/h/70 kg, respectively. A semi-physiological model was linked to predict ALS-8112 conversion to active intracellular NTP. Extensive and rapid RSV reduction occurred after lumicitabine treatment (EC50 = 1.79 μM), with >99% viral inhibition at 2 h after loading dose. Simulated NTP exposures and time to EC50 attainment suggested that rapid therapeutic effects and reduced dosing frequency are achievable in adult and paediatric patients.
Conclusions: The semi-mechanistic model characterizes RSV kinetics and the antiviral effectiveness of lumicitabine in an adult challenge population. This model is applicable to guide dose selection in adult and paediatric patients.