ORGAN DOSE ESTIMATION ACCOUNTING FOR UNCERTAINTY FOR PEDIATRIC AND YOUNG ADULT CT SCANS IN THE UNITED KINGDOM

Abstract

Since our previous publication of organ dose for the pediatric CT cohort in the UK, there have been questions about the magnitude of uncertainty in our dose estimates. We therefore quantified shared and unshared uncertainties in empirical CT parameters extracted from 1073 CT films (1978-2008) from 36 hospitals in the study and propagated these uncertainties into organ doses using Monte Carlo random sampling and NCICT organ dose calculator. The average of 500 median brain and marrow doses for the full cohort was 35 (95% confidence interval: 30-40) mGy and 6 (5-7) mGy, respectively. We estimated that shared uncertainty contributed ~99% of coefficient of variation of median brain doses in brain scans compared to unshared uncertainty (1% contribution). We found that the previous brain doses were slightly underestimated for <1990 and overestimated for >1990 compared to the results in the current study due to the revised CTDI models based on CT films.