Global patterns of change and variation in sea surface temperature and chlorophyll a

Sci Rep. 2018 Oct 2;8(1):14624. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-33057-y.

Abstract

Changes over the scale of decades in oceanic environments present a range of challenges for management and utilisation of ocean resources. Here we investigate sources of global temporal variation in Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and Ocean Colour (Chl-a) and their co-variation, over a 14 year period using statistical methodologies that partition sources of variation into inter-annual and annual components and explicitly account for daily auto-correlation. The variation in SST shows bands of increasing variability with increasing latitude, while the analysis of annual variability in Chl-a shows mostly mid-latitude high variability bands. Covariation patterns of SST and Chl-a suggests several different mechanisms impacting Chl-a change and variance. Our high spatial resolution analysis indicates these are likely to be operating at relatively small spatial scales. There are large regions showing warming and rising of Chl-a, contrasting with regions that show warming and decreasing Chl-a. The covariation pattern in annual variation in SST and Chl-a reveals broad latitudinal bands. On smaller scales there are significant regional anomalies where upwellings are known to occur. Over decadal time scales both trend and variation in SST, Chl-a and their covariance is highly spatially heterogeneous, indicating that monitoring and resource management must be regionally appropriate.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Chlorophyll A
  • Ecosystem
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Oceans and Seas*
  • Seasons
  • Spatio-Temporal Analysis*
  • Temperature*
  • Time Factors

Substances

  • Chlorophyll A