Backgrounds: A significant number of patients with colorectal cancer will have an emergency presentation requiring surgery. This study aims to evaluate short-term outcomes for patients undergoing emergency colorectal cancer surgery in Australasia.
Methods: All consecutive CRC from the Bi-National Colorectal Cancer Audit Database was interrogated from 2007 to 2016. Short-term outcomes including length of stay, complication rate and mortality rate were compared between the emergency and elective groups. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent predictors for inpatient mortality. A predictive model for inpatient mortality was constructed using these variables, and its accuracy was then validated by the Bootstrap re-sampling method.
Results: Of 15,676 colorectal cancer cases identified, 13.6% were emergency cases. The emergency group had a higher rate of surgical and medical complications (26.7% vs 22.6%, p < 0.001; 22.8 vs 13.8%, p < 0.001, respectively). Higher inpatient mortality rate was also observed in the emergency group (3.4% vs 2.6%, p = 0.023). Independent predictors for inpatient survival included age, American Society Anaesthesiologists score, emergency surgery and tumour stage. In addition, postoperative complications such as anastomotic leak (odds ratio [OR] 3.78, p < 0.001), sepsis (OR 2.85, p < 0.001) and medical complications (OR 13.88, p < 0.001) had a significant impact in survival in the emergency group. Receiver operating characteristics curve for inpatient mortality was 0.913.
Conclusion: Emergency colorectal cancer surgery carries significant morbidity and mortality. Recognition of the increasing rate of postoperative complications may help minimise the detrimental impact of this event on overall outcomes.
Keywords: Colorectal cancer; Emergency colorectal surgery; Postoperative outcome.