Maintaining trust when agents can engage in self-deception

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2018 Aug 28;115(35):8728-8733. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1803438115. Epub 2018 Aug 13.

Abstract

The coexistence of cooperation and selfish instincts is a remarkable characteristic of humans. Psychological research has unveiled the cognitive mechanisms behind self-deception. Two important findings are that a higher ambiguity about others' social preferences leads to a higher likelihood of acting selfishly and that agents acting selfishly will increase their belief that others are also selfish. In this work, we posit a mathematical model of these mechanisms and explain their impact on the undermining of a global cooperative society. We simulate the behavior of agents playing a prisoner's dilemma game in a random network of contacts. We endow each agent with these two self-deception mechanisms which bias her toward thinking that the other agent will defect. We study behavior when a fraction of agents with the "always defect" strategy is introduced in the network. Depending on the magnitude of the biases the players could start a cascade of defection or isolate the defectors. We find that there are thresholds above which the system approaches a state of complete distrust.

Keywords: behavioral economics; cognitive neuroscience; cooperation; corruption; self-deception.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Cooperative Behavior*
  • Culture*
  • Deception*
  • Humans
  • Models, Theoretical*
  • Prisoner Dilemma*
  • Professional Misconduct*