Analysis of Prognostic Factors in Pancreatic Metastases: A Multicenter Retrospective Analysis

Pancreas. 2018 Sep;47(8):1033-1039. doi: 10.1097/MPA.0000000000001132.

Abstract

Objectives: Pancreatic metastases (PMs) account for 1% to 2% of pancreatic tumors, and their prognostic significance is poorly defined. We evaluated the incidence and clinical characteristics of primary tumors and defined prognostic factors.

Methods: This retrospective study of 39 Japanese tertiary referral hospitals (January 2005 to August 2015) analyzed patient and tumor characteristics and survival time. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards models were applied to evaluate overall survival and prognostic factors, respectively.

Results: We enrolled 159 patients with a pathologic diagnosis of PM. The most common primary tumor was renal cell carcinoma (38.4%), followed by lung cancer (24.5%), colorectal cancer (11.3%), and sarcoma (6.3%). Eight patients were lost during follow-up, and 151 patients were included for statistical analysis. Median overall survival was 43.0 months, and the 5-year survival rate was 42.6%. Multivariate analysis identified 3 independent prognostic factors: extrapancreatic metastasis (hazard ratio, 2.13; 95% confidence interval, 1.11-4.07; P = 0.02), tumor-related symptoms at diagnosis (hazard ratio, 5.39; 95% confidence interval, 2.92-9.91; P < 0.001), and pathologic diagnosis of primary tumors (P < 0.001).

Conclusions: Treatment strategies and prognoses for PMs completely differ according to the primary tumor type. A definitive pathologic diagnosis of PMs is essential for selecting the appropriate treatment.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Carcinoma, Renal Cell / epidemiology
  • Carcinoma, Renal Cell / pathology*
  • Carcinoma, Renal Cell / therapy
  • Colorectal Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Colorectal Neoplasms / pathology*
  • Colorectal Neoplasms / therapy
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Japan / epidemiology
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Kidney Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Kidney Neoplasms / pathology*
  • Kidney Neoplasms / therapy
  • Lung Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Lung Neoplasms / pathology*
  • Lung Neoplasms / therapy
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Pancreatic Neoplasms / secondary*
  • Prognosis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Sarcoma / epidemiology
  • Sarcoma / pathology*
  • Sarcoma / therapy
  • Young Adult