Climate Variability and Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever in Hanoi, Viet Nam, During 2008 to 2015

Asia Pac J Public Health. 2018 Sep;30(6):532-541. doi: 10.1177/1010539518790143. Epub 2018 Jul 25.

Abstract

Dengue fever/dengue hemorrhagic fever (DF/DHF) has been an important public health challenge in Viet Nam and worldwide. This study was implemented in 2016-2017 using retrospective secondary data to explore associations between monthly DF/DHF cases and climate variables during 2008 to 2015. There were 48 175 DF/DHF cases reported, and the highest number of cases occurred in November. There were significant correlations between monthly DF/DHF cases with monthly mean of evaporation ( r = 0.236, P < .05), monthly relative humidity ( r = -0.358, P < .05), and monthly total hours of sunshine ( r = 0.389, P < .05). The results showed significant correlation in lag models but did not find direct correlations between monthly DF/DHF cases and monthly average rainfall and temperature. The study recommended that health staff in Hanoi should monitor DF/DHF cases at the beginning of epidemic period, starting from May, and apply timely prevention and intervention measures to avoid the spreading of the disease in the following months. A larger scale study for a longer period of time and adjusting for other potential influencing factors could better describe the correlations, modelling/projection, and developing an early warning system for the disease, which is important under the impacts of climate change and climate variability.

Keywords: Hanoi; Viet Nam; climate variability; dengue fever; dengue hemorrhagic fever; humidity; rainfall; temperature.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Climate Change / statistics & numerical data*
  • Epidemics / statistics & numerical data*
  • Humans
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Severe Dengue / epidemiology*
  • Vietnam / epidemiology