Estimating factors of individual and regional characteristics affecting the drink driving recidivism

Accid Anal Prev. 2018 Oct:119:16-22. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2018.06.011. Epub 2018 Jun 30.

Abstract

Traffic violations, particularly drink driving, are a menace to the drivers themselves, and to other road users. Drink driving crashes often cause death or serious injury to the driver. Understanding the recidivism effect factor of drink driving is essential for designing effective countermeasures. This study is based on register-based data from the National Police Agency, Ministry of the Interior of Taiwan and monthly administrative area information from 2012 to 2015 for the entire population. Hence, this study not only focuses on the effect factor and violation differences between recidivists and non-recidivists, but discusses the entire regional characteristics effect for recidivism. The purpose of this study is to offer a comprehensive econometrical framework, using a multilevel random effect logistic model, which highlights important contributors to drink driving recidivism from regional attributes. As the study findings from our empirical results indicate, there are statistically significant differences with drink driving in administrative areas, depending on the number of report on drink driving by police, divorce rate of the population, alcohol consumption, number of community security patrol teams, number of bus trips, and level of education. The results of this study provide suggestions to the government for enhancing community security and developing public transportation, both of which can effectively decrease drink driving recidivism and improve public road safety.

Keywords: Drink driving; Multilevel random effect logistic regression model; Recidivist; Traffic violations.

MeSH terms

  • Accidents, Traffic / prevention & control*
  • Adult
  • Alcohol Drinking*
  • Automobile Driving
  • Divorce
  • Driving Under the Influence*
  • Educational Status
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Multilevel Analysis
  • Police
  • Recidivism / prevention & control*
  • Safety
  • Taiwan
  • Transportation