Long-term trends and spatial patterns of PM2.5-induced premature mortality in South and Southeast Asia from 1999 to 2014

Sci Total Environ. 2018 Aug 1:631-632:1504-1514. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.03.146. Epub 2018 Mar 28.

Abstract

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) poses a potential threat to human health, including premature mortality under long-term exposure. Based on a long-term series of high-resolution (0.01°×0.01°) satellite-retrieved PM2.5 concentrations, this study estimated the premature mortality attributable to PM2.5 in South and Southeast Asia (SSEA) from 1999 to 2014. Then, the long-term trends and spatial characteristics of PM2.5-induced premature deaths (1999-2014) were analyzed using trend analyses and standard deviation ellipses. Results showed the estimated number of PM2.5-induced average annual premature deaths in SSEA was 1,447,000. The numbers increased from 1,179,400 in 1999 to 1,724,900 in 2014, with a growth rate of 38% and net increase of 545,500. Stroke and ischemic heart disease were the two principal contributors, accounting for 39% and 35% of the total, respectively. High values were concentrated in North India, Bangladesh, East Pakistan, and some metropolitan areas of Southeast Asia. An estimated 991,600 deaths in India was quantified (i.e., ~69% of the total premature deaths in SSEA). The long-term trends (1999-2014) of PM2.5-related premature mortality exhibited consistent incremental tendencies in all countries except Sri Lanka. The findings of this study suggest that strict controls of PM2.5 concentrations in SSEA are urgently required.

Keywords: Long-term trends; PM(2.5) pollution; Premature mortality; South and Southeast Asia; Spatial variations.

MeSH terms

  • Air Pollutants / analysis*
  • Air Pollution / statistics & numerical data*
  • Asia, Southeastern / epidemiology
  • Bangladesh / epidemiology
  • Coronary Artery Disease / mortality
  • Environmental Exposure / statistics & numerical data*
  • Humans
  • India / epidemiology
  • Mortality, Premature / trends*
  • Pakistan / epidemiology
  • Particulate Matter / analysis*
  • Sri Lanka / epidemiology
  • Stroke / mortality

Substances

  • Air Pollutants
  • Particulate Matter