Purpose: We investigated if patient-reported outcomes (PROMs) one year after total hip replacement (THR) can predict the risk of re-operation using data from the Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register.
Methods: A total of 75,899 patients with THR due to osteoarthritis operated in 2002-2014 were included. We used Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression to investigate the relationship between one-year post-operative PROMs and risk of re-operation (all types of further hip surgery). The predictive power of the model and post-operative PROMs were evaluated by concordance index (C).
Results: Kaplan-Meier estimates for not being re-operated at eight years was 95.5% (95%CI; 95.3-95.8). Cox regression analyses showed that all PROMs, except for EQ-VAS, were associated with re-operation. The full model had a concordance index of 0.68. Satisfaction (C = 0.65) and pain (C = 0.65) in isolation had the highest predictive power.
Conclusions: Worse PROMs predicted higher risk of re-operation. Therefore, we believe PROMs may be helpful in identifying patients at risk for re-operation and timely address their problems.
Keywords: Patient-reported outcome measurements; Prediction; Re-operation; Total hip replacement.