A blended link approach to relative risk regression

Stat Methods Med Res. 2018 Nov;27(11):3325-3339. doi: 10.1177/0962280217698174. Epub 2017 Mar 13.

Abstract

A binary health outcome may be regressed on covariates using a log link, rather than more typical link functions such as the logit. This allows the exponentiated regression coefficient for each covariate to be interpreted as a relative risk conditional on the remaining covariates. Relative risks are simpler to interpret than the odds ratios which arise with a logit link. There are practical and conceptual challenges in log-link binary regression, mainly due to the requirement that probabilities are less than or equal to 1. Viable probabilities are now usually achieved by the imposition of a constraint on the parameter space, but the log link function is still more work to apply in practice. We propose instead a new smooth link function which is equal to the log up to a cutoff and a linearly scaled logit function above the cutoff. The new approach is conceptually clearer, simpler to implement and generally less biased, and it retains the relative risk interpretation for all but the highest risk individuals. Alternative binary regressions are compared using a simulation study and a diabetic retinopathy dataset.

Keywords: Binary data; Poisson regression; log-binomial model; logistic regression; relative risks; type 1 diabetes.

MeSH terms

  • Algorithms
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1
  • Diabetic Retinopathy
  • Models, Statistical
  • Regression Analysis*
  • Risk Assessment* / statistics & numerical data