Prediction of cognitive and motor development in preterm children using exhaustive feature selection and cross-validation of near-term white matter microstructure

Neuroimage Clin. 2017 Nov 29:17:667-679. doi: 10.1016/j.nicl.2017.11.023. eCollection 2018.

Abstract

Background: Advanced neuroimaging and computational methods offer opportunities for more accurate prognosis. We hypothesized that near-term regional white matter (WM) microstructure, assessed on diffusion tensor imaging (DTI), using exhaustive feature selection with cross-validation would predict neurodevelopment in preterm children.

Methods: Near-term MRI and DTI obtained at 36.6 ± 1.8 weeks postmenstrual age in 66 very-low-birth-weight preterm neonates were assessed. 60/66 had follow-up neurodevelopmental evaluation with Bayley Scales of Infant-Toddler Development, 3rd-edition (BSID-III) at 18-22 months. Linear models with exhaustive feature selection and leave-one-out cross-validation computed based on DTI identified sets of three brain regions most predictive of cognitive and motor function; logistic regression models were computed to classify high-risk infants scoring one standard deviation below mean.

Results: Cognitive impairment was predicted (100% sensitivity, 100% specificity; AUC = 1) by near-term right middle-temporal gyrus MD, right cingulate-cingulum MD, left caudate MD. Motor impairment was predicted (90% sensitivity, 86% specificity; AUC = 0.912) by left precuneus FA, right superior occipital gyrus MD, right hippocampus FA. Cognitive score variance was explained (29.6%, cross-validated Rˆ2 = 0.296) by left posterior-limb-of-internal-capsule MD, Genu RD, right fusiform gyrus AD. Motor score variance was explained (31.7%, cross-validated Rˆ2 = 0.317) by left posterior-limb-of-internal-capsule MD, right parahippocampal gyrus AD, right middle-temporal gyrus AD.

Conclusion: Search in large DTI feature space more accurately identified neonatal neuroimaging correlates of neurodevelopment.

Keywords: BSID; Cognitive development; DTI; Diffusion tensor imaging; MRI; Machine learning; Motor development; Neonate; Neurodevelopment; Preterm; VLBW; Very-low-birth-weight.

MeSH terms

  • Brain / diagnostic imaging*
  • Brain / pathology
  • Cognitive Dysfunction / diagnostic imaging*
  • Cognitive Dysfunction / pathology
  • Diagnosis, Computer-Assisted / methods
  • Diffusion Tensor Imaging
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Infant, Premature
  • Infant, Very Low Birth Weight
  • Magnetic Resonance Imaging
  • Movement Disorders / diagnostic imaging*
  • Movement Disorders / pathology
  • Neuroimaging / methods*
  • Risk Factors
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • White Matter / diagnostic imaging*
  • White Matter / pathology