A model for 'sustainable' US beef production

Nat Ecol Evol. 2018 Jan;2(1):81-85. doi: 10.1038/s41559-017-0390-5. Epub 2017 Dec 4.

Abstract

Food production dominates land, water and fertilizer use and is a greenhouse gas source. In the United States, beef production is the main agricultural resource user overall, as well as per kcal or g of protein. Here, we offer a possible, non-unique, definition of 'sustainable' beef as that subsisting exclusively on grass and by-products, and quantify its expected US production as a function of pastureland use. Assuming today's pastureland characteristics, all of the pastureland that US beef currently use can sustainably deliver ≈45% of current production. Rewilding this pastureland's less productive half (≈135 million ha) can still deliver ≈43% of current beef production. In all considered scenarios, the ≈32 million ha of high-quality cropland that beef currently use are reallocated for plant-based food production. These plant items deliver 2- to 20-fold more calories and protein than the replaced beef and increase the delivery of protective nutrients, but deliver no B12. Increased deployment of rapid rotational grazing or grassland multi-purposing may increase beef production capacity.

MeSH terms

  • Animal Husbandry / methods*
  • Animals
  • Cattle*
  • Conservation of Natural Resources
  • Grassland
  • Humans
  • Meat / analysis*
  • Nutritive Value*
  • Terminology as Topic
  • United States