On Consistency Test Method of Expert Opinion in Ecological Security Assessment

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2017 Sep 4;14(9):1012. doi: 10.3390/ijerph14091012.

Abstract

To reflect the initiative design and initiative of human security management and safety warning, ecological safety assessment is of great value. In the comprehensive evaluation of regional ecological security with the participation of experts, the expert's individual judgment level, ability and the consistency of the expert's overall opinion will have a very important influence on the evaluation result. This paper studies the consistency measure and consensus measure based on the multiplicative and additive consistency property of fuzzy preference relation (FPR). We firstly propose the optimization methods to obtain the optimal multiplicative consistent and additively consistent FPRs of individual and group judgments, respectively. Then, we put forward a consistency measure by computing the distance between the original individual judgment and the optimal individual estimation, along with a consensus measure by computing the distance between the original collective judgment and the optimal collective estimation. In the end, we make a case study on ecological security for five cities. Result shows that the optimal FPRs are helpful in measuring the consistency degree of individual judgment and the consensus degree of collective judgment.

Keywords: consensus measure; ecological security; fuzzy preference relation; group decision making; sustainable development.

MeSH terms

  • Consensus
  • Ecology*
  • Expert Testimony*
  • Fuzzy Logic
  • Humans
  • Safety*