Hierarchical and coupling model of factors influencing vessel traffic flow

PLoS One. 2017 Apr 17;12(4):e0175840. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0175840. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

Understanding the characteristics of vessel traffic flow is crucial in maintaining navigation safety, efficiency, and overall waterway transportation management. Factors influencing vessel traffic flow possess diverse features such as hierarchy, uncertainty, nonlinearity, complexity, and interdependency. To reveal the impact mechanism of the factors influencing vessel traffic flow, a hierarchical model and a coupling model are proposed in this study based on the interpretative structural modeling method. The hierarchical model explains the hierarchies and relationships of the factors using a graph. The coupling model provides a quantitative method that explores interaction effects of factors using a coupling coefficient. The coupling coefficient is obtained by determining the quantitative indicators of the factors and their weights. Thereafter, the data obtained from Port of Tianjin is used to verify the proposed coupling model. The results show that the hierarchical model of the factors influencing vessel traffic flow can explain the level, structure, and interaction effect of the factors; the coupling model is efficient in analyzing factors influencing traffic volumes. The proposed method can be used for analyzing increases in vessel traffic flow in waterway transportation system.

MeSH terms

  • Humans
  • Models, Theoretical
  • Safety
  • Transportation*

Grants and funding

This study was supported by a grant from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos.: 51179147 and 51479157), a grant from the “Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities” program of Wuhan University of Technology (No. 2013-YB-004), a grant from the Science and Technology Project for Communication Construction of Ministry of Transport (No.: 2015 318 J34 090), and a grant from the Science and Technology Department of Hubei Province (No.: 2015BHE004). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.