High MELD score and extended operating time predict prolonged initial ICU stay after liver transplantation and influence the outcome

PLoS One. 2017 Mar 20;12(3):e0174173. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0174173. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

Background: The aim of the present study is to determine the incidence of a prolonged (>3 days) initial ICU-stay after liver transplantation (LT) and to identify risk factors for it.

Patients and methods: We retrospectively analyzed data of adult recipients who underwent deceased donor first-LT at the University Hospital Essen between 11/2003 and 07/2012 and showed a primary graft function.

Results: Of the 374 recipients, 225 (60.16%) had prolonged ICU-stay. On univariate analysis, donor INR, high doses of vasopressors, "rescue-offer" grafts, being hospitalized at transplant, high urgency cases, labMELD, alcoholic cirrhosis, being on renal dialysis and length of surgery were associated with prolonged ICU-stay. After multivariate analysis, only the labMELD and the operation's length were independently correlated with prolonged ICU-stay. Cut-off values for these variables were 19 and 293.5 min, respectively. Hospital stay was longer for patients with a prolonged initial ICU-stay (p<0.001). Survival rates differed significantly between the two groups at 3 months, 1-year and 5-years after LT (p<0.001).

Conclusions: LabMELD and duration of LT were identified as independent predictors for prolonged ICU-stay after LT. Identification of recipients in need of longer ICU-stay could contribute to a more evidenced-based and cost-effective use of ICU facilities in transplant centers.

MeSH terms

  • Area Under Curve
  • End Stage Liver Disease / diagnosis*
  • End Stage Liver Disease / mortality
  • End Stage Liver Disease / therapy*
  • Female
  • Graft Survival
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Intensive Care Units*
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Length of Stay*
  • Liver Transplantation / mortality*
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Operative Time*
  • Prognosis
  • ROC Curve
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Treatment Outcome

Grants and funding

The authors received no specific funding for this work.