Background: A high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a marker of systemic inflammation and is associated with poor survival in localized or metastatic cancer. This study assessed the prognostic value of NLR after first-line chemotherapy (CT) in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC).
Patients and methods: Two hundred eighty consecutive patients treated with first-line platinum-based CT at 4 centers in France and Turkey between 2002 and 2014 were included. The association of NLR and Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) scores with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) was determined by univariate Cox models.
Results: Median OS was 10.6 months (follow-up, 42.8 months). In univariate analysis, high NLR was associated with worse OS (hazard ratio [HR] for death = 1.36; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.23-1.51; P < .0001); the result was similar after adjustment for MSKCC prognostic group (HR = 1.28; 95% CI, 1.14-1.43; P < .0001). Low NLR was associated with longer PFS (HR = 1.18; 95% CI, 1.05-1.33; P < .005). When NLR was divided in terciles, OS in the lowest tercile (NLR 0.6-2.78) was 12.4 to 16.6 (median, 13.4) months versus 5.3 to 9.9 (median, 7.3) months in the highest tercile (NLR 4.70-48.9) (P = .001). Similar trends were observed for PFS (5.6-8.9 [median, 7.6] months vs. 3.1-5.7 [median, 4.8] months) in patients with NLR values in the lowest versus highest tercile, respectively (P = .021).
Conclusion: High pre-CT NLR was an independent prognostic factor for poor OS and PFS in mUC patients. The prognostic value of NLR, as either a continuous or categorical variable, compared favorably with MSKCC score but was easier to assess and monitor.
Keywords: Biomarker; Inflammation; Overall survival; Prognostic value; Progression-free survival.
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