Severe hypernatremia as a predictor of mortality after percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (PEG) placement

Dig Liver Dis. 2017 Feb;49(2):181-187. doi: 10.1016/j.dld.2016.10.015. Epub 2016 Nov 2.

Abstract

Background: Percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy is the preferred option for providing enteral nutrition, allowing for an improvement in survival and quality of life.

Aim: To evaluate risk factors for early and delayed mortality after gastrostomy placement.

Methods: A single-center retrospective analysis of a prospectively-collected database including all patients undergoing gastrostomy placement for enteral nutrition was performed. Two operators performed all the procedures according to the most recent guidelines.

Results: Analysis included data on 438 patients [178 male; 80.5 (72-86) year-old]. Indications for PEG were stroke (34.0%), dementia (31.3%), neurodegenerative disorders (18.5%), coma (9.1%) and cancer (7.1%). No periprocedural adverse events was observed. Mean survival was 14.6±3.4months; 1-month and 3-month mortality rates were 4.0% and 8.1%, respectively. Severe hypernatremia (≥150mmol/L) was independently related to 1-month mortality (odds ratio 25.4; P<0.0001), while C-reactive protein level>4.3mg/dL was independently related to 3-month mortality (odds ratio 5.3; P=0.003). Kaplan-Meier and Cox-regression analysis identified male gender (hazard ratio 2.32; P=0.0002), severe hypernatremia (hazard ratio 4.3; P<0.0001), C-reactive protein>4.3mg/dL (hazard ratio 3.5; P=0.0014), leukocytosis (hazard ratio 1.97; P=0.0036) and presence of underlying malignancy (hazard ratio 2.4; P=0.0013) as independent risk factors for long-term mortality.

Discussion: Presence of severe hypernatremia and increased C-reactive protein levels were strongly correlated with early and delayed mortality in our population. Studies are necessary to understand whether correcting underlying dehydration and inflammation further improves patients' outcomes.

Keywords: Cancer; Dementia; Dysphagia; Palliative care; Survival; Swallowing disorders.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • C-Reactive Protein / analysis
  • Comorbidity
  • Dementia / complications
  • Dementia / mortality*
  • Enteral Nutrition
  • Female
  • Gastrostomy / adverse effects*
  • Humans
  • Hypernatremia / epidemiology*
  • Italy
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Neoplasms / complications
  • Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Neurodegenerative Diseases / complications
  • Neurodegenerative Diseases / mortality*
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Quality of Life
  • ROC Curve
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Stroke / complications
  • Stroke / mortality*

Substances

  • C-Reactive Protein