Modeling faults among e-bike-related fatal crashes in China

Traffic Inj Prev. 2017 Feb 17;18(2):175-181. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2016.1228922. Epub 2016 Oct 20.

Abstract

Objectives: This article aims to model fault in e-bike fatal crashes in a county-level city in China.

Method: Three-year crash data are retrieved from the crash reports (2012-2014) from the Taixing Police Department. A mixed logit model is introduced to explore significant factors associated with fault assignment, as well as accounting for similarity among fault assignment and heterogeneity within unobserved variables.

Results: The modeling results indicate some interesting new findings. First, precrash behaviors of both drivers and e-bike riders are found to be significant to fault assignment. Second, bike lane and median type are significantly associated with e-bike rider fault commitment. Third, specific groups of e-bike riders (low-educated and older) and drivers (heavy good vehicles) are more likely to be at fault in e-bike crashes. Last, crash location and the built environment have significant correlations with faulty behaviors of e-bike riders.

Conclusions: Safety countermeasures are proposed including (1) the deployment of traffic design and control elements including physically separated bike lanes, medians, video surveillance systems for e-bike riders, and left-turning treatments for nonmotorists (e.g., a 2-step e-bike left turning); (2) the amendment of the current traffic regulations on drunk e-bike riders and child e-bike passengers; (3) the development of a license system for specific e-bike rider groups (older and low-educated) and a safety campaign for drivers (to increase safety awareness when parking on-street or driving heavy good vehicles). Some interesting future research topics are also suggested: e-bike riders' behaviors at unsignalized intersections and mid-block openings, e-bike safety in suburban areas, and an in-depth study of the effect of the built environment on e-bike safety.

Keywords: e-bike fatal crashes; fault; mixed logit model; safety countermeasures.

MeSH terms

  • Accidents, Traffic / statistics & numerical data*
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Automobile Driving / psychology*
  • China
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Motorcycles / statistics & numerical data*
  • Risk Assessment*
  • Risk-Taking*
  • Young Adult