Application of transit data analysis and artificial neural network in the prediction of discharge of Lor River, NW Spain

Water Sci Technol. 2016;73(7):1756-67. doi: 10.2166/wst.2016.002.

Abstract

Transit data analysis and artificial neural networks (ANNs) have proven to be a useful tool for characterizing and modelling non-linear hydrological processes. In this paper, these methods have been used to characterize and to predict the discharge of Lor River (North Western Spain), 1, 2 and 3 days ahead. Transit data analyses show a coefficient of correlation of 0.53 for a lag between precipitation and discharge of 1 day. On the other hand, temperature and discharge has a negative coefficient of correlation (-0.43) for a delay of 19 days. The ANNs developed provide a good result for the validation period, with R(2) between 0.92 and 0.80. Furthermore, these prediction models have been tested with discharge data from a period 16 years later. Results of this testing period also show a good correlation, with R(2) between 0.91 and 0.64. Overall, results indicate that ANNs are a good tool to predict river discharge with a small number of input variables.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Hydrology
  • Models, Theoretical*
  • Neural Networks, Computer*
  • Rivers / chemistry*
  • Spain
  • Water Pollutants, Chemical / chemistry*

Substances

  • Water Pollutants, Chemical