Transit times and mean ages for nonautonomous and autonomous compartmental systems

J Math Biol. 2016 Dec;73(6-7):1379-1398. doi: 10.1007/s00285-016-0990-8. Epub 2016 Apr 1.

Abstract

We develop a theory for transit times and mean ages for nonautonomous compartmental systems. Using the McKendrick-von Förster equation, we show that the mean ages of mass in a compartmental system satisfy a linear nonautonomous ordinary differential equation that is exponentially stable. We then define a nonautonomous version of transit time as the mean age of mass leaving the compartmental system at a particular time and show that our nonautonomous theory generalises the autonomous case. We apply these results to study a nine-dimensional nonautonomous compartmental system modeling the terrestrial carbon cycle, which is a modification of the Carnegie-Ames-Stanford approach model, and we demonstrate that the nonautonomous versions of transit time and mean age differ significantly from the autonomous quantities when calculated for that model.

Keywords: CASA model; Carbon cycle; Compartmental system; Exponential stability; Linear system; McKendrick–von Förster equation; Mean age; Nonautonomous dynamical system; Transit time.

MeSH terms

  • Carbon Cycle*
  • Models, Biological*
  • Time Factors