Overweight, resting heart rate, and prediabetes/diabetes: A population-based prospective cohort study among Inner Mongolians in China

Sci Rep. 2016 Mar 31:6:23939. doi: 10.1038/srep23939.

Abstract

We aimed to investigate the cumulative effect of overweight and resting heart rate on prediabetes/diabetes incidence in an 10-year follow-up study in Inner Mongolians. Among 1729 participants who were free from prediabetes and diabetes at baseline, 503 and 155 subjects developed prediabetes and diabetes, respectively. We categorized the participants into 4 subgroups according to overweight and resting heart rate status. The multivariate-adjusted OR (95% CI) in normal weight with heart rate ≥80 bpm, overweight with heart rate <80 bpm, and overweight with heart rate ≥80 bpm were 1.24 (0.95-1.61), 1.83 (1.29-2.61), 2.20 (1.41-3.45) for prediabetes and 1.52 (0.97-2.40), 3.64 (2.21-6.01), 4.61 (2.47-8.61) for diabetes, respectively, compared with normal weight with heart rate <80 bpm. The area under ROC curve (AUC) for the prediction of diabetes incidence for a model containing overweight and resting heart rate, along with conventional factors (AUC = 0.751), was significantly (P = 0.003) larger than the one containing only conventional factors (AUC = 0.707). Our study indicated that overweight was an independent risk factor of prediabetes and diabetes, and overweight with faster resting heart rate might further increase the risk of prediabetes and diabetes.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • China / epidemiology
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 / epidemiology*
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 / physiopathology
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Heart Rate / physiology
  • Humans
  • Hypertension / epidemiology*
  • Hypertension / physiopathology
  • Incidence
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Overweight / epidemiology*
  • Overweight / physiopathology
  • Prediabetic State / epidemiology*
  • Prediabetic State / physiopathology
  • Prospective Studies
  • ROC Curve
  • Risk Factors