Universal bursty behavior in the air transportation system

Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2015 Dec;92(6):062815. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.92.062815. Epub 2015 Dec 11.

Abstract

Social activities display bursty behavior characterized by heavy-tailed interevent time distributions. We examine the bursty behavior of airplanes' arrivals in hub airports. The analysis indicates that the air transportation system universally follows a power-law interarrival time distribution with an exponent α=2.5 and an exponential cutoff. Moreover, we investigate the mechanism of this bursty behavior by introducing a simple model to describe it. In addition, we compare the extent of the hub-and-spoke structure and the burstiness of various airline networks in the system. Remarkably, the results suggest that the hub-and-spoke network of the system and the carriers' strategy to facilitate transit are the origins of this universality.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't