Intrinsic Multi-Scale Dynamic Behaviors of Complex Financial Systems

PLoS One. 2015 Oct 1;10(10):e0139420. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0139420. eCollection 2015.

Abstract

The empirical mode decomposition is applied to analyze the intrinsic multi-scale dynamic behaviors of complex financial systems. In this approach, the time series of the price returns of each stock is decomposed into a small number of intrinsic mode functions, which represent the price motion from high frequency to low frequency. These intrinsic mode functions are then grouped into three modes, i.e., the fast mode, medium mode and slow mode. The probability distribution of returns and auto-correlation of volatilities for the fast and medium modes exhibit similar behaviors as those of the full time series, i.e., these characteristics are rather robust in multi time scale. However, the cross-correlation between individual stocks and the return-volatility correlation are time scale dependent. The structure of business sectors is mainly governed by the fast mode when returns are sampled at a couple of days, while by the medium mode when returns are sampled at dozens of days. More importantly, the leverage and anti-leverage effects are dominated by the medium mode.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Algorithms*
  • Commerce / economics*
  • Humans
  • Investments / economics*
  • Marketing / economics
  • Marketing / trends*
  • Models, Economic*

Grants and funding

This work was supported in part by NNSF of China under Grant Nos. 11375149, 11075137 and 11505099, and Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No. Z6090130. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.