Warming-Induced Decline of Picea crassifolia Growth in the Qilian Mountains in Recent Decades

PLoS One. 2015 Jun 29;10(6):e0129959. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0129959. eCollection 2015.

Abstract

Warming-induced drought has widely affected forest dynamics in most places of the northern hemisphere. In this study, we assessed how climate warming has affected Picea crassifolia (Qinghai spruce) forests using tree growth-climate relationships and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) along the Qilian Mountains, northeastern Tibet Plateau (the main range of Picea crassifolia). Based on the analysis on trees radial growth data from the upper tree line and the regional NDVI data, we identified a pervasive growth decline in recent decades, most likely caused by warming-induced droughts. The drought stress on Picea crassifolia radial growth were expanding from northeast to southwest and the favorable moisture conditions for tree growth were retreating along the identical direction in the study area over the last half century. Compared to the historical drought stress on tree radial growth in the 1920s, recent warming-induced droughts display a longer-lasting stress with a broader spatial distribution on regional forest growth. If the recent warming continues without the effective moisture increasing, then a notable challenge is developed for Picea crassifolia in the Qilian Mountains. Elaborate forest management is necessary to counteract the future risk of climate change effects in this region.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Climate
  • Conservation of Natural Resources
  • Droughts*
  • Ecology
  • Forests
  • Geography
  • Global Warming*
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Picea / growth & development*
  • Tibet

Grants and funding

This research was funded by one of National Basic Research Program of China (2010CB950104, L. Huang) and China Meteorological Administration Special Public Welfare Research Fund (GYHY201206026, H. Liu and Y. Zhang) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41401058). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.