The effects of high temperature on cardiovascular admissions in the most populous tropical city in Vietnam

Environ Pollut. 2016 Jan;208(Pt A):33-39. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2015.06.004. Epub 2015 Jun 16.

Abstract

This study examined the short-term effects of temperature on cardiovascular hospital admissions (CHA) in the largest tropical city in Southern Vietnam. We applied Poisson time-series regression models with Distributed Lag Non-Linear Model (DLNM) to examine the temperature-CHA association while adjusting for seasonal and long-term trends, day of the week, holidays, and humidity. The threshold temperature and added effects of heat waves were also evaluated. The exposure-response curve of temperature-CHA reveals a J-shape relationship with a threshold temperature of 29.6 °C. The delayed effects temperature-CHA lasted for a week (0-5 days). The overall risk of CHA increased 12.9% (RR, 1.129; 95%CI, 0.972-1.311) during heatwave events, which were defined as temperature ≥ the 99th percentile for ≥2 consecutive days. The modification roles of gender and age were inconsistent and non-significant in this study. An additional prevention program that reduces the risk of cardiovascular disease in relation to high temperatures should be developed.

Keywords: Cardiovascular diseases; Ho Chi Minh City; Hospital admission; Temperature; Vietnam.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / epidemiology*
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Cities
  • Female
  • Hospitalization / statistics & numerical data*
  • Hot Temperature*
  • Humans
  • Humidity
  • Infant
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Theoretical
  • Nonlinear Dynamics
  • Poisson Distribution
  • Regression Analysis
  • Tropical Climate
  • Vietnam