An immuno-epidemiological model for Johne's disease in cattle

Vet Res. 2015 Jun 19;46(1):69. doi: 10.1186/s13567-015-0190-3.

Abstract

To better understand the mechanisms involved in the dynamics of Johne's disease in dairy cattle, this paper illustrates a novel way to link a within-host model for Mycobacterium avium ssp. paratuberculosis with an epidemiological model. The underlying variable in the within-host model is the time since infection. Two compartments, infected macrophages and T cells, of the within-host model feed into the epidemiological model through the direct transmission rate, disease-induced mortality rate, the vertical transmission rate, and the shedding of MAP into the environment. The epidemiological reproduction number depends on the within-host bacteria load in a complex way, exhibiting multiple peaks. A possible mechanism to account for the switch in shedding patterns of the bacteria in this disease is included in the within-host model, and its effect can be seen in the epidemiological reproduction model.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Bacterial Shedding
  • Cattle
  • Cattle Diseases / epidemiology*
  • Cattle Diseases / immunology*
  • Cattle Diseases / microbiology
  • Cattle Diseases / transmission
  • Dairying
  • Feces / microbiology
  • Female
  • Infectious Disease Transmission, Vertical / veterinary*
  • Models, Immunological
  • Paratuberculosis / epidemiology*
  • Paratuberculosis / immunology*
  • Paratuberculosis / microbiology
  • Paratuberculosis / transmission
  • Prevalence