Background and purpose: Though still debated, early reperfusion is increasingly used as a biomarker for clinical outcome. However, the lack of a standard definition hinders the assessment of reperfusion therapies and study comparisons. The objective was to determine the optimal early reperfusion criteria that predicts clinical outcome in ischemic stroke.
Methods: Early reperfusion was assessed voxel-wise in 57 patients within 6 hours of symptom onset. The performance of the time to peak (TTP), the mean transit time (MTT), and the time to maximum of residue function (Tmax ) at various delays thresholds in predicting the neurological response (based on the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale) and the functional outcome (modified Rankin scale ≤1) at 1 month were compared. A receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis determined the optimal extent of reperfusion. A novel unsupervised classification of reperfusion using group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM) was evaluated.
Results: MTT had a lower performance than TTP and Tmax in predicting the neurological response (P = .008 vs. TTP and P = .006 vs. Tmax ) or the functional outcome (P = .0006 vs. TTP; P = .002 vs. Tmax ). No delay threshold had a significantly higher predictive value than another. The optimal percentage of reperfusion was dependent on the outcome scale (P < .001). The GBTM-based classification of reperfusion was closely associated with the clinical outcome and had a similar accuracy compared to ROC-based classification.
Conclusions: TTP and Tmax should be preferred to MTT in defining early reperfusion. GBTM provided a clinically relevant reperfusion classification that does not require prespecified delay thresholds or clinical outcomes.
Keywords: Acute stroke imaging; ROC analysis; group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM); perfusion-weighted imaging (PWI); reperfusion.
Copyright © 2015 by the American Society of Neuroimaging.