External Validation and Predictive Accuracy Assessment of Guy's Stone Score as a Preoperative Tool for Estimating Percutaneous Nephrolithotomy Outcomes

J Endourol. 2015 Oct;29(10):1131-5. doi: 10.1089/end.2015.0273. Epub 2015 Jun 26.

Abstract

Objective: To externally validate Guy's stone score system and estimate its predictive accuracy.

Patients and methods: An analysis of 282 consecutive patients, who underwent a percutaneous nephrolithotomy, was performed. The association between Guy's stone score and several pre-, intra-, and postoperative parameters was assessed. A univariate and multivariate analysis was conducted to identify the independent predictors for stone-free rates. Area under the curve was used for predictive accuracy estimation.

Results: Stone burden, multiple stone locations, number of stones, number of implicated caliceal groups, and Guy's stone score were significantly associated with stone-free outcomes. The multivariate analysis showed that Guy's stone score, number of stones, and number of implicated caliceal groups are independent predictors of stone-free status. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed a significant predictive accuracy for the Guy's stone score.

Conclusions: The present study externally validated Guy's stone score. Significant predictive ability combined with great predictive accuracy was found.

Publication types

  • Validation Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Area Under Curve
  • Cohort Studies
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Kidney Calculi / surgery*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Nephrostomy, Percutaneous / methods*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • ROC Curve
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Young Adult