Relationship between meteorological conditions and respiratory syncytial virus in a tropical country

Epidemiol Infect. 2015 Sep;143(12):2679-86. doi: 10.1017/S0950268814003793. Epub 2015 Jan 16.

Abstract

This study aimed to determine which meteorological conditions are associated with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) isolates in a population of children hospitalized with acute lower respiratory infection (ALRI) in Bogota, Colombia. In an analytical cross-sectional study, links were examined between the number of monthly RSV infections and monthly average climatic variation (temperature, relative humidity, rainfall, wind speed, solar radiation) between 1 January 2010 and 30 April 2011 in a population of hospitalized children aged <3 years with ALRI caused by RSV. Out of a total of 1548 children included in the study (mean age 9·2 ± 8·5 months), 1194 (77·1%) presented RSV infection during the 3-month period from March to May. In the multivariate analysis, after controlling for wind speed, relative humidity, and solar radiation, monthly average temperature [incident rate ratio (IRR) 3·14, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1·56-6·30, P = 0·001] and rainfall (IRR 1·008, 95% CI 1·00-1·01, P = 0·048) were independently associated with the monthly number of RSV infections. In conclusion, in Bogota, a tropical Latin American city, average temperature and rainfall are the meteorological variables most strongly associated with RSV isolation in children hospitalized with ALRI in the city.

Keywords: Children; climatic factors; epidemic; respiratory syncytial virus.

MeSH terms

  • Child, Preschool
  • Colombia / epidemiology
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Humans
  • Humidity
  • Infant
  • Rain*
  • Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections / epidemiology*
  • Sunlight
  • Temperature*
  • Time Factors
  • Tropical Climate*
  • Wind