Interpretation of probabilistic forecasts of epidemics

Affiliations

• ¹ Climate Dynamics and Impacts Unit, Institut Català de Ciéncies del Clima, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain. Electronic address: rachel.lowe@ic3.cat.
• ² Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.
• ³ Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil.
• ⁴ Exeter Climate Systems, College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, Devon, UK.
• ⁵ Climate Dynamics and Impacts Unit, Institut Català de Ciéncies del Clima, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain; Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain.