Acute kidney injury and acute-on-chronic liver failure classifications in prognosis assessment of patients with acute decompensation of cirrhosis

Gut. 2015 Oct;64(10):1616-22. doi: 10.1136/gutjnl-2014-307526. Epub 2014 Oct 13.

Abstract

Objective: Prognostic stratification of patients with cirrhosis is common clinical practice. This study compares the prognostic accuracy (28-day and 90-day transplant-free mortality) of the acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) classification (no ACLF, ACLF grades 1, 2 and 3) with that of acute kidney injury (AKI) classification (no AKI, AKI stages 1, 2 and 3).

Design: The study was performed in 510 patients with an acute decompensation of cirrhosis previously included in the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure consortium CANONIC study. ACLF was evaluated at enrollment and 48 h after enrollment, and AKI was evaluated at 48 h according to Acute Kidney Injury Network criteria.

Results: 240 patients (47.1%) met the criteria of ACLF at enrollment, while 98 patients (19.2%) developed AKI. The presence of ACLF and AKI was strongly associated with mortality. 28-day transplant-free mortality and 90-day transplant-free mortality of patients with ACLF (32% and 49.8%, respectively) were significantly higher with respect to those of patients without ACLF (6.2% and 16.4%, respectively; both p<0.001). Corresponding values in patients with and without AKI were 46% and 59%, and 12% and 25.6%, respectively (p<0.0001 for both). ACLF classification was more accurate than AKI classification in predicting 90-day mortality (area under the receiving operating characteristic curve=0.72 vs 0.62; p<0.0001) in the whole series of patients. Moreover, assessment of ACLF classification at 48 h had significantly better prognostic accuracy compared with that of both AKI classification and ACLF classification at enrollment.

Conclusions: ACLF stratification is more accurate than AKI stratification in the prediction of short-term mortality in patients with acute decompensation of cirrhosis.

Keywords: ACUTE LIVER FAILURE; CIRRHOSIS; LIVER.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Acute Kidney Injury / classification*
  • Acute Kidney Injury / epidemiology
  • Acute Kidney Injury / etiology
  • Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure / classification*
  • Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure / complications
  • Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure / epidemiology
  • Cause of Death / trends
  • Europe / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Liver Cirrhosis / complications*
  • Liver Cirrhosis / diagnosis
  • Liver Failure, Acute / classification*
  • Liver Failure, Acute / etiology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Morbidity / trends
  • Prognosis
  • ROC Curve
  • Survival Rate / trends