Birth-jump processes and application to forest fire spotting

J Biol Dyn. 2015:9 Suppl 1:104-27. doi: 10.1080/17513758.2014.950184. Epub 2014 Sep 4.

Abstract

Birth-jump models are designed to describe population models for which growth and spatial spread cannot be decoupled. A birth-jump model is a nonlinear integro-differential equation. We present two different derivations of this equation, one based on a random walk approach and the other based on a two-compartmental reaction-diffusion model. In the case that the redistribution kernels are highly concentrated, we show that the integro-differential equation can be approximated by a reaction-diffusion equation, in which the proliferation rate contributes to both the diffusion term and the reaction term. We completely solve the corresponding critical domain size problem and the minimal wave speed problem. Birth-jump models can be applied in many areas in mathematical biology. We highlight an application of our results in the context of forest fire spread through spotting. We show that spotting increases the invasion speed of a forest fire front.

Keywords: 35Q92; 45K05; 92B05; birth-jump processes; critical domain size; diffusion limit; integro-differential equations; minimal wave speed; reaction–diffusion equations; wildfire spotting.

MeSH terms

  • Diffusion
  • Fires*
  • Forests*
  • Models, Biological*
  • Population Dynamics