Correlation between comprehensive evaluation of coronary artery lesion severity and long-term clinical outcomes in Chinese octogenarians with acute coronary syndrome

Heart Lung Circ. 2014 Dec;23(12):1125-31. doi: 10.1016/j.hlc.2014.04.260. Epub 2014 Jun 13.

Abstract

Background: There is little known about long-term outcome data regarding acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in Chinese octogenarians (> 80 years old). Long-term outcomes of octogenarians with ACS may be associated with increased complicated coronary artery lesion severity.

Methods: We classified 536 consecutive octogenarians with ACS into four groups based on Gensini score. Survival and major adverse cardiac event (MACE) rates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariate Cox regression was used to identify mortality predictors. The follow-up period was 27 (IQR15-36) months.

Results: The overall long-term mortality rate was 9.1% and increased from 3.0% in group 1 to 16.7% in group 4. Increasing coronary artery lesion severity was associated with increased long-term mortality and MACE rates. ROC curve analysis showed that the predictive cut-off value of Gensini score for mortality was 53. Gensini score provided significant reclassification of mortality (net reclassification index 0.195, P<0.01). Age, gender, heart rate, SBP, chronic renal failure, e-GFR, GRACE score, Gensini score, and ACS type were different between surviving and deceased patients. Notably, chronic renal failure (OR=2.55, P=0.036), GRACE score (OR=1.10, P=0.006), and Gensini score(OR=1.11, P=0.003) were the independent predictors of long-term mortality.

Conclusions: Long-term mortality of octogenarians with ACS was associated with increased comprehensive coronary artery lesion severity. Gensini score was an effective parameter for evaluation of long-term mortality.

Keywords: Acute coronary syndrome; Coronary artery stenosis; Octogenarians; Prognosis; Risk factors.

Publication types

  • Clinical Trial
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Acute Coronary Syndrome* / mortality
  • Acute Coronary Syndrome* / pathology
  • Acute Coronary Syndrome* / physiopathology
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • China / epidemiology
  • Coronary Vessels* / pathology
  • Coronary Vessels* / physiopathology
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Kidney Failure, Chronic / etiology
  • Kidney Failure, Chronic / mortality
  • Kidney Failure, Chronic / pathology
  • Kidney Failure, Chronic / physiopathology
  • Male
  • Risk Factors
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Survival Rate