Rapid assessment of road safety policy change: relaxation of the national speed enforcement law in Russia leads to large increases in the prevalence of speeding

Inj Prev. 2015 Feb;21(1):53-6. doi: 10.1136/injuryprev-2014-041189. Epub 2014 Jul 22.

Abstract

Reducing vehicle speed is among the most effective road safety strategies. We assess how a new policy in Russia that eliminates fines for driving up to 20 km/h above the speed limit has affected the prevalence of speeding. We measured speeds periodically in 13 districts of two Russian regions during 2011-2013 and analysed the effect of the policy using difference-in-differences to control for seasonality. We find that the prevalence of speeding was declining steadily but half of the gains since mid-2011 were lost immediately after the new policy. Overall speeding increased significantly by 13 percentage points (pp, 95% CI 4 to 19). Speeding more than 10 km/h above the limit increased significantly by 10 pp (95% CI 2 to 12), and extreme speeding increased but not significantly (1.7 pp, 95% CI -1.1 to 4.5). Road traffic injuries will likely increase in Russia unless speeding fines are reinstated.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Accident Prevention / legislation & jurisprudence*
  • Accidents, Traffic / prevention & control*
  • Automobile Driving / legislation & jurisprudence*
  • Automobile Driving / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Law Enforcement
  • Policy Making
  • Prevalence
  • Public Health
  • Risk Factors
  • Russia / epidemiology