Selecting essential information for biosurveillance--a multi-criteria decision analysis

PLoS One. 2014 Jan 29;9(1):e86601. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0086601. eCollection 2014.

Abstract

The National Strategy for Biosurveillance defines biosurveillance as "the process of gathering, integrating, interpreting, and communicating essential information related to all-hazards threats or disease activity affecting human, animal, or plant health to achieve early detection and warning, contribute to overall situational awareness of the health aspects of an incident, and to enable better decision-making at all levels." However, the strategy does not specify how "essential information" is to be identified and integrated into the current biosurveillance enterprise, or what the metrics qualify information as being "essential". The question of data stream identification and selection requires a structured methodology that can systematically evaluate the tradeoffs between the many criteria that need to be taken in account. Multi-Attribute Utility Theory, a type of multi-criteria decision analysis, can provide a well-defined, structured approach that can offer solutions to this problem. While the use of Multi-Attribute Utility Theoryas a practical method to apply formal scientific decision theoretical approaches to complex, multi-criteria problems has been demonstrated in a variety of fields, this method has never been applied to decision support in biosurveillance.We have developed a formalized decision support analytic framework that can facilitate identification of "essential information" for use in biosurveillance systems or processes and we offer this framework to the global BSV community as a tool for optimizing the BSV enterprise. To demonstrate utility, we applied the framework to the problem of evaluating data streams for use in an integrated global infectious disease surveillance system.

Publication types

  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Decision Making, Computer-Assisted
  • Decision Support Techniques*
  • Decision Trees
  • Disease Notification
  • Environmental Monitoring / statistics & numerical data*
  • Epidemiological Monitoring
  • Humans

Grants and funding

The Defense Threat Reduction Agency, Joint Science and Technology Office for Chemical and Biological Defense is acknowledged as the sponsor of this work, under a “work for others” arrangement, issued under the prime contract for research, development, test, and evaluation services between the U.S. Department of Energy and Los Alamos National Laboratory (#B114525l). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.