Optimisation modelling to assess cost of dietary improvement in remote Aboriginal Australia

PLoS One. 2013 Dec 31;8(12):e83587. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0083587. eCollection 2013.

Abstract

Background: The cost and dietary choices required to fulfil nutrient recommendations defined nationally, need investigation, particularly for disadvantaged populations.

Objective: We used optimisation modelling to examine the dietary change required to achieve nutrient requirements at minimum cost for an Aboriginal population in remote Australia, using where possible minimally-processed whole foods.

Design: A twelve month cross-section of population-level purchased food, food price and nutrient content data was used as the baseline. Relative amounts from 34 food group categories were varied to achieve specific energy and nutrient density goals at minimum cost while meeting model constraints intended to minimise deviation from the purchased diet.

Results: Simultaneous achievement of all nutrient goals was not feasible. The two most successful models (A & B) met all nutrient targets except sodium (146.2% and 148.9% of the respective target) and saturated fat (12.0% and 11.7% of energy). Model A was achieved with 3.2% lower cost than the baseline diet (which cost approximately AUD$13.01/person/day) and Model B at 7.8% lower cost but with a reduction in energy of 4.4%. Both models required very large reductions in sugar sweetened beverages (-90%) and refined cereals (-90%) and an approximate four-fold increase in vegetables, fruit, dairy foods, eggs, fish and seafood, and wholegrain cereals.

Conclusion: This modelling approach suggested population level dietary recommendations at minimal cost based on the baseline purchased diet. Large shifts in diet in remote Aboriginal Australian populations are needed to achieve national nutrient targets. The modeling approach used was not able to meet all nutrient targets at less than current food expenditure.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Child
  • Costs and Cost Analysis
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Diet / economics*
  • Feeding Behavior / ethnology*
  • Female
  • Food Supply / economics
  • Health Policy / economics
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Economic
  • Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander*
  • Northern Territory
  • Nutritional Requirements

Grants and funding

The study was funded through the National Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Health Equity Council. The National Health and Medical Research Council provided people support for JB Salary support for JB [NHMRC: Public Health Training Fellowship ID545253] and MF [NHMRC PhD scholarship ID 1039074] to conduct this work. The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not reflect the views of NHMRC. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.