Objectives: Postoperative atrial fibrillation (PAF) occurs commonly following pulmonary resection. Our aims were to quantify the incidence and severity of PAF using the Thoracic Morbidity & Mortality classification system, and identify risk factors for PAF.
Methods: All consecutive patients undergoing pulmonary resection at a single centre (January 2008 - April 2010) were enrolled. PAF was defined as postoperative, electrocardiographically documented and requiring initiation of pharmacological therapy. Univariate and multivariate analyses of risk factors associated with the development of PAF were conducted.
Results: The incidence of PAF was 11.8% (n = 43) of 363 pulmonary resections (open: n = 173; 47.7%; video-assisted: n = 177; 48.8%; converted: n = 13; 3.6%): sublobar (n = 93; 25.6%), lobectomy (n = 237; 65.3%), bilobectomy (n = 7; 1.9%) and pneumonectomy (n = 24; 6.6%). Twenty-eight cases (65.1%) were uncomplicated/transient, and 15 cases (34.9%) were complicated/persistent PAF, defined as lasting for >7 days (40.0%), requiring cardioversion (13.3%), vasopressors (33.3%), in-hospital use of anticoagulants (46.7%) and/or anticoagulants on discharge (26.7%). Patients with PAF had increased mean lengths of hospital stay (10.5 days vs 6.9 days; P = 0.04). Peak onset of PAF occurred 2.5 (standard deviation (SD) ± 1.3) days after pulmonary resection, lasting for 1.8 ± 2.8 (mean, ±SD) days. Multivariate analysis identified (relative risk; 95% confidence interval): age ≥70 years (2.3; 1.1-5.1), history of angioplasty/stents/angina (4.0; 1.4-11.3), thoracotomy (3.6; 1.4-9.3), conversion to open thoracotomy (16.5; 2.2-124.0) and extent of surgery/stage (7.1; 1.0-49.4) as predictors of PAF.
Conclusions: While the majority of PAF is uncomplicated and transient, one-third of cases lead to persistence or major intervention. Age, coronary artery disease and extent of surgery/stage increase the risk of PAF following pulmonary resection. Identifying patients with elevated risk may lead to targeted prophylaxis to reduce the incidence of PAF.
Keywords: Atrial fibrillation, Flutter; Epidemiology; Lung cancer surgery; Statistics, risk analysis/modelling.