Understanding the interaction between dopants and semiconductor-oxide interfaces is an increasingly important concern in the drive to further miniaturize modern transistors. To this end, using a combination of first-principles density-functional theory and a continuous random network Monte Carlo method, we investigate electrically active arsenic donors at the interface between silicon and its oxide. Using a realistic model of the disordered interface, we find that a small percentage (on the order of ∼10%) of the atomic sites in the first few monolayers on the silicon side of the interface are energetically favourable for segregation, and that this is controlled by the local bonding and local strain of the defect centre. We also find that there is a long-range quantum confinement effect due to the interface, which results in an energy barrier for dopant segregation, but that this barrier is small in comparison to the effect of the local environment. Finally, we consider the extent to which the energetics of segregation can be controlled by the application of strain to the interface.