Predicting complications of percutaneous coronary intervention using a novel support vector method

J Am Med Inform Assoc. 2013 Jul-Aug;20(4):778-86. doi: 10.1136/amiajnl-2012-001588. Epub 2013 Apr 18.

Abstract

Objective: To explore the feasibility of a novel approach using an augmented one-class learning algorithm to model in-laboratory complications of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

Materials and methods: Data from the Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan Cardiovascular Consortium (BMC2) multicenter registry for the years 2007 and 2008 (n=41 016) were used to train models to predict 13 different in-laboratory PCI complications using a novel one-plus-class support vector machine (OP-SVM) algorithm. The performance of these models in terms of discrimination and calibration was compared to the performance of models trained using the following classification algorithms on BMC2 data from 2009 (n=20 289): logistic regression (LR), one-class support vector machine classification (OC-SVM), and two-class support vector machine classification (TC-SVM). For the OP-SVM and TC-SVM approaches, variants of the algorithms with cost-sensitive weighting were also considered.

Results: The OP-SVM algorithm and its cost-sensitive variant achieved the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the majority of the PCI complications studied (eight cases). Similar improvements were observed for the Hosmer-Lemeshow χ(2) value (seven cases) and the mean cross-entropy error (eight cases).

Conclusions: The OP-SVM algorithm based on an augmented one-class learning problem improved discrimination and calibration across different PCI complications relative to LR and traditional support vector machine classification. Such an approach may have value in a broader range of clinical domains.

Keywords: Computing Methodologies; Decision Support Systems; Percutaneous Coronary Intervention; Statistical Model; Support Vector Machines.

MeSH terms

  • Area Under Curve
  • Feasibility Studies
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Models, Cardiovascular*
  • Percutaneous Coronary Intervention / adverse effects*
  • ROC Curve
  • Risk Assessment / methods
  • Support Vector Machine*